Numbers Game - Jobseeker Basics XVI
What follows is Chapter 7 in A Career Breakdown Kit (2026).
While the title suggests a lottery, how they break down includes misreporting, people following poor advice, wing and a prayer applications and suitable applications from unsuitable applicants.
That last one being the fault of poorly specified adverts, not the reader.
How do the numbers break down?
When you see 400 people have already applied for a vacancy, you might think not to even bother applying.
But these numbers aren't always accurate and are never the full story.
Until recently there was a common reporting error on LinkedIn, when a click that led to an incomplete application on an ATS still counted as an application. The true number here is often lower. As a fix, LinkedIn now shows ‘people who clicked apply.’
In this tough market, it's understandable that many people will apply at volume, often without reading the adverts. Tools like EasyApply allow a straightforward application, while automations like LazyApply enable you to apply for 2,000 vacancies while you are sleeping.
This leads to a high number of 'wholly unsuitable' applications. Common reasons can be no work permit or experience that has no relation to the vacancy.
As well as a high number of applications that appear suitable yet are non-viable. This might be down to a too high salary requirement; one reason to list salary and help people make informed decisions. Even then many will still apply. Or they may have missed simple points like a location too far to commute to. These applications are fairly straightforward to rule out, yet at scale are time consuming.
Anything between 80% and 99% of applications aren't suitable.
When you read 400, there may be only 4 suitable candidates. If you are a suitable candidate, it's well worth considering. You might follow up directly with the hiring manager.
It doesn't help that many adverts don't list salary, misrepresent working conditions, or are so vague you can't assess if you even are suitable. These should be low stakes applications.
It also doesn't help that employers make arbitrary decisions. Such as a LinkedIn post I read recently describing a hiring manager who took down an advert after 24 hours, having received an overwhelming response - then expressed surprise none were suitable.
These high numbers of non-viable applications take oxygen away from people who apply with care.
There aren't any easy answers to this situation, which is driven by poor market conditions, application processes that work against the applicant, and cynical behaviour from many hiring organisations.
Added thoughts:
We are where we are with the jobs market. A high volume of job seekers, a difficult market to navigate, few vacancies, and many poor experiences.
Much of this is defined by the state of the market and wider economy. In the UK this does look to be getting better and may lead to a shift for job seekers. More vacancies, less competition from qualified candidates, more urgency from employers.
For candidates who take care in their applications, the market has been the main factor holding them back.
When you see an advert similar to the one described, consider applying, if you can show you are a suitable candidate.
If you can’t and it’s a common skills role, I’d make the choice to step away. Concentrate on roles you are a 70%+ fit for.
If you do decide to apply, don’t only rely on the transactional process:
- Find out who the hiring manager is and contact them directly. Check if they are still reviewing applications and make a case for yourself
- If you can't find out who the hiring manager is, who can you find to gain more information? Use the LinkedIn search bar to find peers in the same department or people who manage their recruitment, such as Talent Acquisition Managers
- Find constructive reasons to keep in touch, especially if you are declined later in the process
If you see an interesting role that has closed, get in touch directly. It might be that hiring manager scenario where they have many applicants, but no one suitable.
It’s a careful balance. You want to find ways to cut through without being a pain or being seen to cheat.
Listen to anything you get back from a process and use that to improve your approach. This might be anything from instructions to follow in an application to individual feedback on your performance. Think about what you can do to stand out.
Get ahead of the game. If a company advertises widely on LinkedIn, create a job alert on their company page. Click on their company name, go to jobs and you’ll see the option.
The flip side of this advert scenario is that numbers can work against a careful application, such as if an advert is removed before you can tailor your CV.
Or worse, if an advert remains live, but no applications are reviewed after the first 100.
It’s an argument for having a single ‘good enough’ CV so you can move quickly, rather than spending hours on a single application – I’ll discuss this in more depth in Part 3.

